Dickey > Cain? Heck, last night Marquis was > Cain. Matt Cain continued the trend of pitchers coming out flat in their next start following a no-hitter or perfect game, while it looks like R.A. Dickey was fortunate that there was no scoring change, allowing him to even better his performance with another 1-hitter, striking out a career high 13! Dickey takes the lead in favorite to start the All Star game and potential Cy Young candidate in what may be the greatest season ever for a knuckleballer. I can’t imagine what his price will be next time out.

A full glossary, explaining the chart columns in detail can be found here. Many stats in the chart were compiled using the fangraphs.com database. We’re now referencing Seamheads.com for Park Factors. Feedback and suggestions are welcome and encouraged. What would you like to see in our DFB Starting Pitcher Analysis? Follow me on Twitter @reUPSportsPG.

J.Outman: Let me be clear. I don’t just not trust Josh Outman in Colorado, I wouldn’t be comfortable with him in my daily fantasy lineup in any park.

C.Hamels: This is close. The Rockies put up 12 runs in that one game in Detroit, but most of those runs came in 1 inning and then they followed it up be reinforcing the notion that they can’t hit on the road with 3 runs in the next 2 games. Then they may be without Cargo as well as Tulo. Hamels though has allowed at least 4 ER’s in 3 of his last 4 starts and exactly 2 HR’s in 4 of his last 6. He hasn’t completed 7 innings in any of his last 3, but the good news is that he has struck out at least 6 in all except 2 starts this year. Like I said, very close.

T.Hudson: Hudson struck out a season high 8 Yankees in his last start and generally doesn’t allow the long ball, but even so, this is a team that beats up on RHP’s in its home park regularly.

H.Kuroda: The Braves have scored more than 2 runs only twice in their last 7 games (4 both times). Kuroda has had 4 straight solid efforts with at least 6 IP and 2 ER or less. That comes with a 4.4 K/BB in those starts. The problem is that only 1 of those starts was at home, where he has shown a tendency to give up the long ball this year. He should do well, but the price is just a little bit higher than I would have liked today.

M.Leake: Leake may be flying under a lot of radars because the results haven’t exactly matched the skillset lately, but not mine if you’ve been reading over his last few starts. He keeps the ball on the ground and has pitched well enough in a very tough park, with a rising K rate in recent starts. Cleveland may be one of the more hidden pitcher’s parks in the league and Leake has only allowed 2 HR’s in 5 road starts all season. Good Value

J.Tomlin: The Reds have been hot, Tomlin has not.

S.Diamond: Diamond walked a season high 2 batters in his last start and allowed more HR’s (2) than strikeouts (1). It just seems like he’s a low ceiling guy who needs that excellent control, who you can’t pay more than a bottom third price for.

K.Correia: Correia is a guy you shouldn’t pay almost any price for. I continue to be amazed that he takes a turn in a major league rotation every 5 days. His ability to pitch on stems mostly from a .248 BABIP, but he’s never really been a low BABIP guy as that’s nearly 50 points below his career average. I know the Twins have some kind of strange home/road team offensive splits going on this season, but that still may not be enough unless they’re giving Correia away with a free R.A. Dickey in his next start.

L.Lynn: Yes, I wrote off Lance Lynn too prematurely, although I still have concerns about him holding up over a full season, but he pitched his best game of the season last time out (overshadowed by Dickey and Cain on the same night) and now has the following line in his last 2: 13.1 IP – 9 H – 2 ER – 1 HR – 3 BB – 23 K – 52 BF. Pretty amazing, but I fear the early jump off made us miss getting some great value out of him at his most affordable prices. He’s all the way up there, right below the guy he’s going against in some places and the Tigers swing the bats well. It’s been the pitching (outside Verlander of course) that’s been the biggest problem for them lately.  

J.Verlander: Verlander is head and shoulders above the field today, as he should be on most days. The one worrisome stat is that Verlander has a 32 LD% over his last 4 starts and no less than 27% in any of those 4 starts.

D.Price: The results of his last start may have driven Price’s cost down a bit today, but believe it or not, he had an infinite GB/FB because he didn’t allow a single fly ball against the Mets! Over his last 2 starts, his GB/FB is 17.0. He’s also struck out exactly 8 batters in each of his last 2 starts and has been very good in his last 3 road starts, aiding to dispel the notion (maybe it was only in my head) that he struggles on the road. Good pitching can shut the Nats offense down and we saw what a good LHP can do to Bryce Harper this weekend. Good Value

C.Wang: Results be damned, Wang has walked 11 and struck out 10 in his 4 starts.

T.Hunter: Hunter has allowed at least 4 ER in 4 of his last 6 with 7 HR’s allowed over his last 4. With Ike Davis hitting, the Mets have a fairly formidable middle of the order now.

J.Santana: Although I think he’ll be ok and it’s not a result of any type of injury, Johan has struggled since throwing 130+ pitches in his no-hitter. The Orioles have the 2^nd highest wRC+ (115) and wOBA (.345) in the majors vs LHP along with the 3^rd best HR/FB (14.7) and Johan is a fly ball pitcher who may give up the occasional long ball.

M.Buehrle: Buehrle has not eclipsed 4 strikeouts since his 2^nd start of the season and has allowed exactly either 2 or 4 ER’s in each of his last 7 starts. Remarkable consistency with very little daily fantasy baseball value.

C.Buchholz: Whatever adjustments Buchholz has made, and I’m sure someone will write about it in depth if it continues, have really worked. He’s gone from almost out of the rotation to the Ace of the staff over the past month with 2 ER or less in 7 IP or more in 4 consecutive starts with a 4.7 K/BB. The Marlin offense is reaching new depths of terribleness. Good Value

L.Hochevar: This is a price and a spot at which you should be able to take a shot with Hochevar. His peripherals have been strong lately and his .352 BABIP for the season does not match his batted ball profile. He’s struggled greatly with stranding runners, which has been a trend throughout his career, but a 59.5% strand rate is low even by his standards. The Astros have had trouble getting runners on base recently (disregarding Sanchez walking a bunch of them last night) and Hochevar loses the DH, gaining a pitcher here. A fair amount or risk here, but also a prime spot for a very strong performance. Sleeper Alert

W.Rodriguez: The Royals struggle against LHP, but Wandy has struggled against nearly everyone lately.

T.Wood: Wood has allowed more line drives (15 total) than any other type of batted ball in each of his last 2 starts.

J.Peavy: Like his opponent in his last start, Lance Lynn, Peavy is another pitcher I may have shied away from prematurely. However, the fact of the matter is that he hasn’t been very good in his last 4 home starts and is a fly ball pitcher.

J.Chavez: Unlikely to be listed on most sites, Chavez has allowed 28 HR’s in 157.2 career ML innings pitched.

T.Thornburg: Marcum has been scratched will make his major league debut straight out of AA. This is all I could find on him as he apparently seems to be a top prospect in the Brewer system. Otherwise, thank you for ruining my chart.

E.Ramirez: Erasmo was ripped by the Padres in Seattle in his 1^st start. That does not inspire much confidence.

D.Hudson: So far (and by that I mean just last night) the narrative of the Mariners mashing in hitter’s parks is not holding up on the current road trip. Hudson had one disastrous start, but has been otherwise good in his 4 starts since returning from injury. I like, but don’t love him here as I’ll give the Mariners another chance to prove their road success has been mostly a fluke.

A.Harang: Aaron Harang, while occasionally a decent value at a low price, is not worth this price in any park, especially considering the A’s have recently discovered how to hit the baseball.

B.McCarthy: McCarthy, who hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER’s in a home start since last August (9 starts) would be my Top Value today if I was confident in his health. He has made just 2 starts in the past month with his last being on June 7^th.

B.Zito: His last 2 starts (11 IP – 14 H – 9 ER – 4 HR – 5 BB – 5 K – 52 BF) have been awful….and those were in San Francisco.

C.Wilson: I’m going to go ahead and call Wilson over-valued here. He hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in 6 consecutive starts now, but his peripherals have been alarming as he walked more than he struck out twice in that span, including his last start. He has a career high 78.2% strand rate and career low .237 BABIP. He has been a lower BABIP pitcher throughout his career, but that’s still well below his .282 lifetime mark. His ERA is about a run and a half better than what you’d expect it to be by the way he’s actually pitched.

S.Feldman: How do you not for this price? Feldman’s last 2 starts have been reasonable in worse circumstances: 10.1 IP – 12 H - 6 ER – 1 HR – 1 BB – 13 K – 46 BF. Top Value

E.Volquez: I thought the only ones laughing during Volquez’s mound appearances were the opposing hitters. Despite the respectable ERA, his K/BB over his last 5 starts is 1.05. The park will continue to hide some of his deficiencies, but you can’t continue to walk that many major league hitters, especially if you’re K rate is going to continue to decline. The K/9 still looks strong, but that’s because he’s facing so many batters. He hasn’t finished 7 innings in 8 starts.

*Top Values Tuesday: S.Feldman and it depends how confident you are in McCarthy’s health.

Good Values: David Price,Clay Buchholz, Mike Leake

Sleeper Alert: Luke Hochevar

Top Draft Targets: Justin Verlander, David Price, Cole Hamels, Lance Lynn

*Players are priced differently across sites. A top value on one site may not be so on another. All values are a consensus generalization.

Interestingly enough, most of your best value comes from the middle of the board or even the bottom today.