Watching the Nationals rack up 14 runs in the first 5 innings yesterday against the Giants reminded me how crazy daily fantasy baseball can be. The Nationals faced red hot Ryan Vogelsong who had only given up 4 earned runs twice this season (not to mention they were facing him at home where he has a .214 batting average against this season). The Nationals proceeded to score 14 runs over 5 innings against Vogelsong and Brad Penny even though they only hit one homerun. If you had a few Nationals in your lineup last night you probably won a lot of your leagues, but who could have predicted their offensive explosion against Vogelsong? I’ve learned to expect the unexpected in daily fantasy baseball over the past few weeks and the Nationals offensive barrage yesterday reaffirmed my beliefs.

Milwaukee Brewers Offense: You can pencil the Brewers offense in again for tomorrow as they’ll be playing in Colorado again. Today they’ll face Tyler Chatwood who looked like the Rockies’ ace last time he faced the Giants in San Francisco (he pitched 5 shutout innings). Today he won’t have the luxury of pitching in AT&T Park in San Francisco (which didn’t help Vogelsong out much yesterday).  Today will help us learn what to expect going forward.

Colorado Rockies Offense: I highlighted the Brewers offense yesterday, but failed to mention the Rockies because they were set to face Michael Fiers. Fiers went on to give up 8 earned runs over 2 innings and his ERA jumped from 1.80 to 2.63 on the season. Today the Rockies will face the Brewers ageless wonder Randy Wolf. They could easily repeat yesterday’s early game performance against Wolf today.

Jose Reyes (SS | Marlins) vs. Kyle Kendrick: 12 of 28 with 2 doubles, 1 triple, 1 HR, and 4 RBIs

Curtis Granderson (OF | Yankees) vs. Matt Harrison: 4 of 12 with 2 homeruns and 3 RBIs

Josh Reddick (OF | Athletics) vs. Jeremy Guthrie: 6 of 16 with 3 XBHs

Ryan Howard (1B | Phillies) vs. Josh Johnson: 10 of 33 with 2 doubles, 3 homeruns, and 8 RBIs

Justin Morneau (1B | Twins) vs. Doug Fister: 5 of 11 with 1 double, 1 homerun, and 3 RBIs

Denard Span (OF | Twins) vs. Doug Fister: 6 of 16 with 2 XBHs and 2 RBIs

Jhonny Peralta (SS | Tigers) vs. Brian Duensing: 10 of 22 with 3 doubles, 1 homerun, and 7 RBIs

Jesus Montero (C | Mariners} vs. Matt Moore: 5 of 6 with 1 double and 1 homerun

Evan Longoria (3B | Rays) vs. Kevin Millwood: 3 of 6 with 1 double, 1 homerun, and 2 RBIs

Carlos Beltran (OF | Cardinals) vs. Ian Kennedy: 6 of 17 with 4 XBHs and 6 RBIs

Shane Victorino (OF | Dodgers) vs. Kevin Correia: 6 of 11 with 1 homerun and 5 RBIs

Andre Ethier (OF | Dodgers) vs. Kevin Correia: 11 of 23 with 3 XBHs and 4 RBIs

Brian McCann (C | Braves) vs. Clayton Richard: 5 of 7 with 3 doubles and 4 RBIs

Carlos Quentin (OF | Padres) vs. Tim Hudson: 3 of 6 with 2 homeruns and 3 RBIs

Cameron Maybin (OF | Padres) vs. Tim Hudson: 6 of 14 with 1 homerun and 3 RBIs

Tyler Chatwood (COL) | Randy Wolf (MIL) | Henderson Alvarez (TOR) | Brian Duensing (MIN) | Ubaldo Jimenez (CLE)

*For a more detailed analysis of today’s pitching check out our starting pitcher analysis

Over 11 – MIL @ COL

Over 9 – ARI @ STL | TEX @ NYY | CWS @ TOR | DET @ MIN | OAK @ KC